Since when has it been harder to encourage consumption than to
encourage men to get sterilized?
Think about the past few years, when there were all kinds of
credit expansion and overdraft consumption, and even buying a bun could be paid
in installments, which created a period of prosperity.
Now everyone is lying down, young people don’t buy houses, don’t
get married, and don’t have children;
Middle-aged and elderly people also hold on to their money and don’t spend it. When asked, they are afraid of "what if": what if they get sick? What if they lose their jobs? Not to mention that they owe mortgages and car loans, and there are "debtors" everywhere.
Stimulating domestic demand to promote economic development has
been called for many, many, many, many, many years ago, and it is still at the
stage of calling for consumption.
Who doesn’t know how to spend money? Who doesn’t want to buy,
buy, buy? Who doesn’t want to have money, a house, a car, a wife and children?
The reality is that the problems of employment, housing,
education, medical care and elderly care are stressful.
No one should use morality to blackmail anyone. Just calling for consumption without giving out money, and wanting to trick the cows and horses into spending that little life-saving money,It's simply "being a hooligan"!
At this time, the academics are still arguing fiercely.
Some believe that the Chinese people are frugal and have a fine
tradition of hard work and perseverance, so issuing consumption coupons is not
acceptable;
Some believe that the country should be strong, but the people
cannot be too rich, because when people are rich, they will become lazy and
stop working;
Some believe that low wages are a kind of competitiveness, and
rising labor costs will make it impossible to become a world factory;
Some believe that Western countries have fallen into the trap of a consumer society, which is the harm of capital and cannot be repeated.
This is difficult. You want cows and horses to pull carts and
grind mills, but you can't let them eat enough.
Seeing that cows and horses don't consume, they are anxious, and
they are anxious that they don't work hard. They are worried that if they are
given money, they will save the money, and they are afraid that their income
will rise and they will stop working.
Anyway, it seems harmful for cows and horses to have money.
From another perspective, this may also make sense.
When a person has money, he will have higher pursuits and demand
more rights;
When he gets rid of the crisis of material scarcity, he will pay
attention to the needs of spiritual life.
Originally, everyone was poor and economic development was stagnant, but it was very stable. Once adjustments were made, the economy prospered, people's hearts became mixed, and it was not so easy to control.
Developed countries have a high proportion of disposable income
of residents in GDP, which belongs to a consumer society, and domestic demand
plays a big role in driving the economy.
But developed countries are weakly controlled societies. It's
not that they don't want to control, but they can't control. The power to
control people is so small and there are so many resources.
In contrast, in a society where the proportion of disposable income of residents in GDP is relatively low, the people don't have so much money to consume, and the controllers have a lot of economic resources to establish and maintain this order.
It's like a cake. No matter whether the cake is big or small,
the proportion of division is roughly fixed.
Only by taking more can you control those who take less. Anyway,
when the economy is developing rapidly,
the cake is growing rapidly, and those who only get a small part
of it are enough to eat, and life will go on.
But once the pie gets smaller, all kinds of problems will get bigger. At this time, no matter how much the controllers account for or how many resources there are, it is not so easy to manage.
Lao Tzu said in the Tao Te Ching: "The saint has no
permanent heart, and takes the heart of the people as his heart."
Lu Xisheng, the prime minister of the Tang Dynasty, commented on Lao Tzu's words in his book Tao Te Ching: "The hearts of the people always want to live a stable life and fulfill their nature. The saints always make everyone get what they want. Isn't it taking the heart of the people as their heart?"
For a saint, he will not be stubborn about one person's opinion
or personal wishes, but will rely on the will of the people to solve the needs
of the people and satisfy the desires of the people, so he is spontaneously
respected and voluntarily submitted to by the world.
And what is the greatest people's heart and desire? It is to
make money, to get rich, to be realistic difficulties, and to live in reality.
The Chinese are not afraid of suffering, but they are afraid of endless suffering.
The country is people-oriented. Human beings have no country,
and the meaning of the existence of the country is to make human beings live
better.
A strong country may not necessarily bring wealth to its people,
but a wealthy people will certainly bring strength to the country.
Keeping wealth in the hands of the people and taking the
people's heart as one's own is the right way to become rich and strong.
什么时候开始，鼓励消费比鼓励男人结扎还要难。
想想前些年，各种信贷扩张、透支消费，简直买个包子都可以分期付款，堆砌起好一阵繁荣。
现在一个个躺平了，年轻人不买房，不结婚，不生娃，三和大神满地走；
中老年人也捂着票子就是不花出去，一问就是怕“万一”：生病咋办？失业咋办？更别说欠着房贷车贷，到处是“负翁”。
拉动内需以促进经济发展，在很多多多多多多多多多年前就在喊，到现在仍雷打不动地停留在呼吁消费阶段。
谁不知道花钱爽？谁不想买买买？谁不想五子登科？
现实是就业、住房、教育、医疗、养老的难题五雷轰顶。
谁也别拿道德绑架谁，只呼吁消费不发钱，就想忽悠牛马们把那点子救命钱花出去，简直就是“耍流氓”！
都什么时候了，学界衮衮诸公还争议得不可开交。
有的认为，天朝民风勤俭持家，有吃苦耐劳的优良传统，发消费券可不行；
也有的认为，国要富强，可民不能太富，人一富就会变懒，不奋斗了；
还有的认为，低工资是一种竞争力，人力成本上升就做不成世界工厂了；
更有的认为，西方国家已经深陷消费型社会的陷阱，这都是资本的危害，不能重蹈覆辙。
这就难了，既要牛马拉车拉磨，又不能让它们吃饱了。
见牛马不消费急了，不奋斗急了，担心给钱了会把钱存起来，怕收入上升就不奋斗了。
反正，牛马有钱，好像有害。
换一个角度来说，这可能也有点道理。
一个人有钱了，会有更高的追求，会诉求更多的权利；
当摆脱了物质匮乏的危机，就会关注精神生活的需求。
原来大家都穷，经济发展停滞，但很稳定，而一作调整，经济繁荣了，人心也杂了，不那么好管。
发达国家的居民可支配收入占GDP比重很高，属于消费型社会，内需在拉动经济上作用大。
但发达国家是弱管控社会，不是不想管，是没法管，管人的只有那么大点权力，只有那么多资源。
与之不同的是，在居民可支配收入占GDP比重偏低的社会，民众就没有那么多钱去消费，而管控者有大量的经济资源来建立和维护这一秩序。
这就像是一个蛋糕，无论蛋糕做大还是做小，分割的比例已经大致固定好了。
拿得多，才能管住拿得少的。反正经济高速发展时，蛋糕在迅速做大，只分到一小部分的人也够吃，日子照样过。
可一旦蛋糕变小，各种问题反会变大。这个时候，管控者所占比例再多，资源再多，都不那么好管了。
老子在《道德经》中说：“圣人恒无心，以百姓心为心”。
唐朝宰相陆希声在所著的《道德真经传》中，对老子这句话作注说：“百姓之心常欲安其生而遂其性，圣人常使人人得其所欲，岂非以百姓心为心乎？”
对圣人来说，他不能固执于一人之见、个人之愿，而只能以民意为依归，解决民众的需求，满足民众的欲望，所以为天下所自发推重、自愿归顺。
而最大的民心、民欲是什么？是赚钱，是发财，是现实困难，是现实生活。
中国人不怕吃苦，怕的是只有吃不完的苦。
国以人为本。人类本无国家，国家存在的意义就是让人类活得更好。
国强未必民富，但民富必然国强。
藏富于民，以百姓心为心，才是富强的正途。
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